Wednesday, March 26, 2025

Fantasy Golf: Texas Children's Open Preview

We can go ahead and set the "Days Since Last Incident" board back to "0" after a few solid weeks of clean wholesome living went by the wayside last Thursday. Apparently a few of the boys at work noticed that I hadn't chronicled any of our mishaps lately and decided to do something about it. This one will require some scene setting.

About once a quarter, we as a company decide to go out and get collectively bombed. We like to call it "Team Building" which has a way more positive ring to it than "High Functioning Alcoholism." We intentionally space these events three months apart so we have time to forget what a bad idea they are. That way we can roll into them with clear eyes and full hearts.  

This particular outing started with an open bar at noon which is late for a group that is often ankle deep in Bloody Marys by 9:00  a.m. In an effort to project maturity and responsibility (or something), I did not partake in the afternoon booze session. Frankly, I was in a mood that drinking would've enhanced . . . in the wrong direction.

At 4:00 p.m., however, I started making-up for lost time and an hour later I boarded a van with about twenty of my coworkers, many of whom had a four hour head start on me. The first stop was a restaurant to fuel-up on ribs and an array of random foods that had been run through a deep fryer. We had a few beers and some shots because no deep-fried dinner would be complete without vodka. What better way to celebrate our burgeoning Russian alliance.

The next stop was one of those crafty cocktail bars with three hundred different kinds of whisky and beers made in someone's basement. Suffice it to say I wasn't running the tour . . . yet. Someone ordered me a stout which tasted like motor oil drained through a dirty sock so I took one sip, abandoned it and dedicated myself to moving the party somewhere fun. 

Thirty minutes later I was leading a bunch of drunks through a downpour looking for the right spot which was tricky because we didn't know if we were looking for a place to dance or fight (foreshadowing alert). The bar we finally settled on had the two classic bouncers. The tall lanky one who was chill and the beady eyed stocky one who was definitely not chill. The feeling of inevitability was palpable.  

Fortunately they had a jukebox. One minute we were singing along to Home by Edward Sharpe and the Magnetic Zeroes and then it devolved into Let Me Clear My Throat by DJ Kool. At this point it's worth noting that I am not the HR Director for this company. I'm just that person's boss. 

The clock was winding down and it actually looked like we were going to make it out mostly unscathed other than a few slip and falls. There was nothing left to do but round everyone up, pay the tab and and head back to the van. 

I don't know exactly how the ruckus started but I was at the front of the bar near the lanky bouncer when it happened. Suddenly a mass of angry humanity began moving toward us and the hostile bouncer was doing everything Patrick Swayze said not to do. By the time he got to me, I may have suggested that he relax as we were leaving anyway at which point he decided to smack the drink out of my hand. I felt that was rude and took exception.

The next few minutes were a little heated as I pretended to want to fight the bouncer while two of my coworkers drove me out the door. If the bruises on my arms are any indication, I offered some resistance. Eventually everyone made it back to the van for a ride to the hotel that either no one can remember or no one wants to.

In hindsight my only regret from the entire experience is that, as we all sat quietly digesting what had just occurred, I didn't cue-up Tiny Dancer and start a sing along. Simply a huge missed team building opportunity. 

GOLF ANALYSIS

There will be no Historical Performance Chart this week due to the lingering effects of Thursday and the fact that it wouldn't tell you much more than Scottie Scheffler, Tony Finau and Aaron Rai would be the best picks based on their glowing track records. Jason Day and Alex Smalley have also had some decent showings. FanDuel does a nice fact sheet and, to prove I ain't scared of the competition, you can find it here.

To say that this has been a lackluster start to 2025 would be an understatement. We typically say that the season doesn't start until The Players but let's be honest, the season doesn't REALLY start until the Masters. We don't intend for the turnaround to take that long but it never hurts to build-in a little cushion. 

Place

Player

Odds

Winner

Aaron Rai

+2800

Top 5

Tony Finau

+550

Top 10

Thomas Detry

+400

Top 10

Jake Knapp

+550

Top 20

Matthew McCarty

+350


One and Done Pick: Aaron Rai
"The name is Rai . . .
Aaron Rai." (He's British). 

Other Guy I'd Pick: Tony Finau

Sleeper Pick: Matthew McCarty 

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Scottie Scheffler

$12,700

Aaron Rai

$9,800

Davis Thompson

$9,400

Tony Finau

$9,200

Thomas Detry

$8,600

Alex Smalley

$8,200

Jake Knapp

$7,700

Davis Riley

$7,400

Victor Perez

$7,100

Matthew McCarty

$7,000


Email the Fantasy Golf Report here

Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Fantasy Golf: The Valspar Championship Preview

The golf pick situation has now become so dire that we may just start publishing pro-Palestine propaganda so the government does us a favor and shuts this thing down. Though I guess at this point pro-French or pro-Prius propaganda would work just as well. Vive la Nissan Leaf!!! 

I hated the Wyndham Clark pick from the moment it left my fingertips and we all knew it was doomed when he was -2 on his 16th hole and proceeded to three-putt for bogey from six feet. He opened the second round with a front nine 40 and by then we had all had enough so he mercifully withdrew after 27 holes. Not even my prediction that I would hate myself on Sunday was right because he delivered the inevitable misery two days early.      

GOLF ANALYSIS

The picks last week weren't actually that bad, I just needed an excuse to use the pro-Prius propaganda line (we are indeed living in strange times). Of the five recommendations, two of them hit with Corey Conners finishing top ten (+400) and Tom Hoge finishing top twenty (+600) so, if my math is right (and it always is), you should've almost doubled your money with the FGR. 

We're going to keep rolling with Conners who should be a good fit for the Copperhead course despite only playing it once in the last five years. The majority of our faith will, however, be in Tommy Fleetwood who brings the positive converging trends of: (a) being due for his first PGA win, and (b) competing in an event that he's played twice with finishes of T3 and T16. Unfortunately, he's only +1000 to win and it would take a cult level faith that we do not have to put money behind that. 

Frankly all of the picks feel very solid, especially Michael Kim and Ben Griffin. Take that for what it's worth based on our recent track record but even blind squirrels occasionally find a nut. I mean they're far more likely to fall out of a tree or get run over by a car but you get my point.   

Place

Player

Odds

Winner

Corey Conners

+3000

Top 5

Michael Kim

+500

Top 10

Taylor Moore

+500

Top 10

Ben Griffin

+550

Top 20

Adam Schenk

+350


One and Done Pick: Tommy Fleetwood
Jesus, I need a win.

Other Guy I'd Pick: Corey Conners

Sleeper Pick: Adam Schenk

DraftKings Top Ten Values

Tommy Fleetwood

$10,300

Sepp Straka

$10,000

Corey Conners

$9,600

Michael Kim

$8,900

Taylor Moore

$8,600

Byeong Hun An

$8,200

Ben Griffin

$7,900

Andrew Novak

$7,400

Adam Hadwin

$7,200

Adam Schenk

$6,900


Email the Fantasy Golf Report here.

This week we honor one of the best sportswriters of our generation who passed away last week. I was going to write more about John Feinstein here but it was becoming a multi-paragraph affair so I'm going to give it the separate post it deserves. At least that's what I'm telling myself. 

                                     THE JOHN FEINSTEIN MEMORIAL 
                                  HISTORICAL PERFORMANCE CHART

There was a time in the not too distant past (like last year) when I wouldn't have considered anyone but Sam Burns here for the obvious reasons identified in this week's chart. However, Sam has been scuffling a bit lately so we're going in another direction. Remember what I've said about players who are mentioned here but not picked. 

 

DK Price

2024

2023

2022

2021

2019

Justin Thomas

$10,800

T64

T10

T3

T13

DNP

Xander Schauffele

$10,500

T5

DNP

T12

DNP

DNP

Tommy Fleetwood

$10,300

DNP

T3

T16

DNP

DNP

Sepp Straka

$10,000

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

T46

Sam Burns

$9,800

MC

6th

1st

1st

T30

Corey Conners

$9,600

DNP

DNP

DNP

T21

DNP

Akshay Bhatia (O)

$9,500

T17

MC

DNP

DNP

MC

Shane Lowry

$9,400

DNP

DNP

T12

DNP

DNP

Will Zalatoris

$9,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Tom Kim

$9,200

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Jordan Spieth

$9,100

MC

T3

DNP

DNP

DNP

Alex Smalley

$9,000

MC

T27

MC

DNP

DNP

Michael Kim

$8,900

T33

T45

DNP

MC

MC

Lucas Glover

$8,800

11th

T36

DNP

T48

T13

J.T. Poston

$8,700

DNP

T10

MC

T54

MC

Taylor Moore

$8,600

T12

1st

MC

DNP

DNP

Luke Clanton

$8,500

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Viktor Hovland

$8,400

DNP

DNP

T33

T3

DNP

Adam Scott

$8,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Byeong Hun An

$8,200

DNP

T45

DNP

DNP

DNP

Jake Knapp

$8,100

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Cameron Young

$8,000

2nd

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Ben Griffin

$7,900

T17

T45

DNP

DNP

DNP

Stephan Jaeger

$7,900

DNP

T27

MC

DNP

MC

Keith Mitchell

$7,800

T17

DNP

DNP

69th

DNP

Sahith Theegala

$7,800

DNP

DNP

T7

DNP

DNP

Rasmus Peterson

$7,700

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Thomas Detry

$7,700

T17

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Bud Cauley

$7,600

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

C. Bezuidenhout

$7,600

T9

DNP

T62

DNP

DNP

Kurt Kitayama

$7,600

DNP

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

Rasmus Hojgaard

$7,500

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

DNP

Ryan Gerard

$7,500

DNP

T71

DNP

DNP

DNP

Andrew Novak

$7,400

T17

T27

MC

DNP

DNP

Billy Horschel

$7,400

T12

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Jacob Bridgeman

$7,400

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Niklas Moller

$7,400

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Doug Ghim

$7,300

T67

T27

DNP

MC

DNP

Harry Hall

$7,300

T67

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Joe Highsmith

$7,300

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Nicolai Hojgarrd

$7,300

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Samuel Stevens

$7,300

T64

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Adam Hadwin

$7,200

T5

MC

T7

MC

MC

Beau Hossler

$7,200

MC

MC

DNP

T39

MC

Jhonattan Vegas

$7,200

MC

MC

T27

T48

DNP

Kevin Yu

$7,200

MC

DNP

MC

DNP

DNP

Matt Wallace

$7,200

T17

T7

MC

DNP

DNP

Max McGreevy

$7,200

DNP

MC

T48

DNP

DNP

Kevin Roy

$7,100

T12

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Sam Ryder

$7,100

T33

T19

MC

MC

MC

Seamus Power

$7,100

T26

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

Charley Hoffman

$7,000

MC

MC

MC

T18

T18

Joel Dahmen

$7,000

T49

T61

T39

DNP

T30

Mackenzie Hughes

$7,000

T5

DNP

MC

MC

T13

Ryan Fox

$7,000

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Thor Olesen

$7,000

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Adam Schenk

$6,900

T33

2nd

MC

T18

MC

Andrew Putnam

$6,900

MC

DNP

MC

MC

DNP

Cam Davis

$6,900

DNP

DNP

DNP

MC

MC

Danny Walker

$6,900

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Erik Van Rooyen

$6,900

DNP

T10

DNP

MC

DNP

Gary Woodland

$6,900

MC

T45

T21

MC

MC

Eric Cole

$6,800

T33

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

Victor Perez

$6,800

MC

T45

DNP

DNP

DNP

Davis Riley

$6,800

MC

T19

2nd

DNP

DNP

Chandler Phillips

$6,700

T3

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Ben Kohles

$6,600

MC

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Ryo Hisatune

$6,600

T33

DNP

DNP

DNP

DNP

Webb Simpson

$6,500

T54

T7

T48

DNP

MC

Zach Johnson

$6,400

MC

MC

MC

T29

T24

Mark Hubbard

$6,400

DNP

MC

DNP

MC

DNP

K.H. Lee

$6,200

T9

T19

DNP

T29

W/D